Of the six categories that he predicted—the six big ones, let’s be honest about it, Silver got four right. He got the girls, so to speak—both Jennifer Lawrence and Anne Hathaway sailed up on stage, with varying degrees of success, to collect their statuettes. And he nailed Daniel Day-Lewis, whose august portrayal of Lincoln was, Silver felt, the surest of sure things. And he was right for Argo—the real Argo, that is—winning Best Picture. So, where did he slip up?
Ang Lee’s awards shelf will now have a second Best Director Oscar for his Life of Pi—Silver thought Spielberg’s Lincoln would win it. And Christoph Waltz, er, waltzed away with the Best Supporting Actor for his role in Django Unchained. Silver’s money was on Lincoln star Tommy Lee Jones. Still, four out of six ain’t bad. B+.
The full list is below. Did the Oscar committee dole out any surprises for you, or was it just as you thought it would be? Do tell us in the comments, please.
Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained.
Animated Short Film: Paperman.
Animated Feature Film: Brave.
Cinematography: Life of Pi
Visual Effects: Life of Pi
Costume: Anna Karenina.
7. Makeup and Hairstyling: Les Miserables
8. Live Action Short Film: Curfew
9. Documentary (short subject): Inocente
10. Documentary: Searching For Sugar Man
11. Foreign Language Film: Amour
12. Sound Mixing: Les Miserables
14. Supporting Actress: Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables.
15. Editing: Argo
16. Production Design: Lincoln
17. Score: Life of Pi
19. Adapted Screenplay: Chris Terrio, Argo.
20. Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained
21. Director: Ang Lee, Life of Pi
22. Actress: Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
23. Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
24. Picture: Argo
It is probably important to mention that Silver indicated in the blog announcing his predictions that the Best Director was a bit of a toss-up because the candidates that had won most of the major awards - Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow - were not nominated, making it hard for him to draw comparisons with previous awards. Also, using his formula Spielberg was ahead of Lee by a razor thin margin: 0.58 to 0.56. Lastly, Silver stated that due to these challenges picking a winner in the best director category:
“Instead, the method defaults to looking at partial credit based on who was nominated for the other awards most frequently. Among the five directors who were actually nominated for the Oscars, Steven Spielberg (for “Lincoln”) and Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”) were nominated for other directorial awards far more often than the others, and Mr. Spielberg slightly more regularly than Mr. Lee. So the method gives the award to Mr. Spielberg on points, but it’s going to be blind luck if we get this one right: you can’t claim to have a data-driven prediction when you don’t have any data.”
Starting next week, most U.S. Internet users will be subject to a new copyright enforcement system that could slow the Internet to a crawl and force violators to take educational courses.
A source with direct knowledge of the Copyright Alert System (CAS), who asked not to be named, has told the Daily Dot that the five participating Internet service providers (ISPs) will start the controversial program Monday.
The ISPs—industry giants AT&T, Cablevision, Comcast, Time Warner, and Verizon—will launch their versions of the CAS on different days throughout the week. Comcast is expected to be the first, on Monday.
» via Daily Dot
Not every Ph.D. student aspires to a career as a tenured college professor. But in plenty of fields, particularly the humanities, spending your life buried up to your elbow patches in books and papers is the gold standard of success. So while breaking down the National Science Foundation’s data for my last two pieces on the job market for doctorate holders, I took a bit of time to look at just what fraction of new graduates were landing jobs in the academy.
The good news? The numbers have only dropped a few percentage points in 20 years. The bad news? They were pretty low to begin with.
» via The Atlantic
The company that measures television viewership said Thursday it will soon begin counting people who watch programming through broadband in addition to the traditional broadcast or cable hook-up.
Nielsen’s move is a significant step toward recognizing a world where the definition of TV viewing is swiftly changing and toward satisfying clients concerned that the company isn’t keeping up with those changes. Separately, Nielsen is developing ways to track content on tablets and mobile phones.
» via Yahoo! News
Interesting that while smart device sales jumped 29% from 2011 to 2012 overall portable PCs and desktops only dropped slightly.
We’ve seen numerous approaches over the years to try and store various types of consumer data, but it wasn’t until recently that we came across the Keepod. Similar to Skanz, which captures the user’s entire online presence in a single QR code, Keepod aims to offer a single card in which users’ entire “digital soul” can be stored. READ MORE…